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Global goods trade is bouncing back after last year’s slump, pushing up shipping rates and straining capacity. This trend brings back memories of the "Covid-19" chaos when skyrocketing freight rates and disrupted supply chains dominated the headlines.
Key Highlights
Container Rates Surge: Container rates on key routes have more than tripled this year. The cost for a 40-foot container to the US West Coast from Asia jumped 13.4% to $4,915 in the last week, marking the fifth straight weekly increase.
Port Congestion: Ports in Asia, like Qingdao, Shanghai, and Ningbo, face delays of 1-4 days due to "vessel bunching" and harsh weather. Similar delays are seen in Singapore and Malaysia.
Import Surge in the US: Container imports through the top 10 US ports have risen for seven consecutive months, with a three-month trailing average gain of 19.1%.
Spot rates for a 40-foot container from Asia to Northern Europe and the US West Coast are on the rise, reflecting tight capacity. Image Source: Bloomberg
Expert Insights
“This situation will bring back memories of the chaos and sky-rocketing ocean freight rates during the pandemic. Shippers have learned lessons from Covid-19 and some are bringing their imports forward, ahead of the peak season and the potential for a capacity squeeze.” – Emily Stausbøll, a senior shipping analyst at Xeneta.
John McCown, a veteran shipping analyst, highlighted the strong gains in container imports, attributing them to underlying economic activity.
Port of Los Angeles Report
Containers processed by the Port of Los Angeles in April 2024 show a 12% increase in total TEUs year-over-year, with loaded exports up 51%. Image Source: Supply Chain Dive
In April, the Port of Los Angeles posted its 11th straight month of year-over-year gains in exports, processing 770,337 total TEUs, up 12% from last year.
Total imports rose 21% YoY, with exports up 51%. Daniel Hackett from Hackett Associates noted that while the West Coast shows stronger growth, year-over-year growth rates are expected to slow in the second half of the year compared to the first half.
On Pre-Pandemic Comparisons:
“Pre-pandemic comparisons are tricky. Comparing 2019 to 2024, the growth on the West Coast is just a 5% increase, whereas the East Coast saw a 14% increase. Peak season forecasting has become less predictable due to changes during the pandemic.” – Daniel Hackett, Hackett Associates
I’m Adriana, a writer and editor at FreightCaviar. I’ve covered everything from freight tech to industry lawsuits and market shifts, helping scale us to almost 14K subscribers. My goal: to make logistics stories digestible, clear, and fun to read.
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